The Birthday Problem

What is the probability that in a room of 25 people at least 2 people share the same birthday? What is your guess? Use the simulation below to empirically figure out the probability.
Trials
Matches
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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Total
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  http://www-stat.stanford.edu/~susan/surprise/Birthday.html
Java problem? The link above still works using Seamonkey as the browser. Otherwise use:
https://spholmes.shinyapps.io/birthday_app/


Count the number of times you had at least one match for each trial. What is the percentage of successful matches to trials? (One or more matches counts as only one match.)

Student activity and collective crowd sourcing

Have students collect the birthday data on several groups of 25 people. These people can be arbitrarily chosen as long as you do not pay any attention to their birthdays until you have the 25 people chosen. For example you can choose the first 25 presidents of the United States or any 25 from our current list of 46 presidents.

See actual probabilities - download Excel file.

Teacher Page (coming soon)
Updated:
10/24/18