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                          (Click on image above to run simulation.) 
                             
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                   WhatŐs needed... 
                               
                            Resources: Shoe box tops;
                            toothpicks; computer applet and Geometer's
                            Sketchpad 
                             
                            Classroom Environment: Students in
                            groups with access to computers; teacher
                            demonstration station. 
                             
                            Strategy: Groups work together to
                            come up with a group prediction through
                            experimentation. 
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             Introduction 
                       
                    One of the reasons
                    probability is one of my favorite topics to teach is
                    that it can lead to many surprises along with some
                    useful math done in interesting ways. The challenge
                    in this activity is to see if students can make a
                    prediction about the likelihood of toothpicks
                    landing on lines when dropped randomly using
                    experimental and theoretical data. 
                   
                Preliminaries 
                 
            
               
              - Make a set of shoebox top
                    toothpick tossing ŇarenasÓ.
 
               
                
               
             
             
            
               
              - Draw equidistant, parallel
                    lines inside the shoebox top. The distance between
                    the lines should be the same as the length of the
                    toothpicks. Make one of these for each of your
                    groups.
 
               
             
             
            
               
              - If you don't have the
                    boxes, you can demonstrate the experiment by
                    dropping the toothpicks on a tiled floor. Here I
                    dropped a bunch on a hardwood floor. (See photo
                    below. I highlighted the toothpicks and lines on the
                    floor. An adjustment will need to be made since the
                    toothpicks will not be the same as the perpendicular
                    distance between lines.) 
 
                   
               
                 
                 
             
             
             Setting the Stage 
                   
             
            
                 
              - Have your students sit in
                    groups or teams. You are facing them standing next
                    to your one computer station. (Maybe even projecting
                    on a digital white board.) Show them an arena for
                    the experiment.
 
                   
               
              - Tell your class that they
                    will be answering a question that was originally
                    posed by a man named Georges-Louis Leclerc, Comte de
                    Buffon about 250 years ago. "Suppose we have a floor
                    made of parallel strips of wood, each the same
                    width, and we drop a needle onto the floor. What is
                    the probability that the needle will lie across a
                    line between two strips?" (source: Wikipedia)
 
                   
               
              - Take guesses from your
                    class. Then ask them to explain their guess. 
 
                   
               
              - Ask them: How might we
                    proceed to find out which student or group made the
                    best guess? LetŐs do the experiment to help us find
                    out.
 
                   
               
             
             Doing the Activity 
              
            
               
              - Hand out the activity sheet. Make
                    sure the students understand the instructions.
 
               
              - Each group will drop 50
                    toothpicks 10 at a time on their parallel lined
                    arena.
 
               
              - Students toss the
                    toothpicks and make their predictions about what the
                    class crossing average will be.
 
               
             
            The teacher can do the
                experiment with a student and show the results on a spreadsheet. 
                 
              
            
               
              - By Group - Worksheet 1
 
               
                
               
              - By Class - Worksheet 2
 
               
                
               
              - Complete worksheet 2 with
                    the class. Who had the best guess? (Compare the
                    group results with individual group guesses.)
 
               
              - After finishing, ask the
                    students how they might come up with even a better
                    or best "guess"? (Theoretical probability is 2/Pi or
                    approximately .6366197. See part
                      2 for more detail.)
 
                   
               
             
             Debriefing the activity and what about the
                  surprise?  
              
            
               
              - Go to this website: http://www.metablake.com/pi.swf
 
               
              - Can you explain what is
                    happening?
 
                 
              - How did Pi get into the
                    act? Hint: Double
                    your number of your individual throws and divide it
                    by the number of crosses. What do you get? Check
                    with other groups. What can you conclude? (Your
                    answer is an approximation for Pi.)
 
               
              - Why does this happen? (See
                    George Reese's explanation.)
 
                   
             
            Additional Resources 
              
            
             
                  Updated:
                  3.19.13 
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